Chinese textile clothing industry is experiencing a Nike trademark shape of buoyancy route. Looking ahead to 2010 textile clothing and export development trend, should take a contradiction, the analysis of two environment, observe three changes. A contradiction is the current demand at home and abroad; Two environment is the international and domestic economic environment; Three change is that international trade protectionism policies and trade friction changes, and the RMB exchange rate changes, macro economic policy on industry has the function of change.

Influence factors

The international monetary fund (IMF) is USB Cables expected to global trade volume in 2010 from 2009 fell by 11.9% year-on-year to positive growth of 2.2%, the bounce of the world trade market for Chinese exports of recovery will create favorable conditions. Prediction, Chinese textile clothing export year-on-year growth in the first half of 2009 back to about 5% of the positive growth, but one of the leading factor is still low compared to base effects.

Domestic growth space is limited, export turns sale in domestic market still faces major difficult. The author believes that in the pull of textile economy "three carriages", the actual domestic consumption trend should be is the steady upward, rather than promote quickly. The first textile nets prediction, 2010 years of the actual increase domestic demand clothing in about 12% or so. Only have to manufacture ability for most of the export-oriented enterprises, sales channels and brand construction maintenance, is restricted by the transformation of the bottleneck of domestic export enterprise, at the same time, great capacity also difficult to fully digest in China.

RMB exchange rate policy (" d stable ", be helpful for export recovery. In the background of the global economic recovery, the general direction of the appreciation of the renminbi has been made, just won't like in 2006 and 2007, the continuous and fast like that. But face is still in the state of the fragile global economic recovery and export prospects, decision-making in the see the exit of stabilising before and evidence,Wholesale New Era Hats the short term is unlikely to change the yuan "d stable" policy fundamental key. However, the enterprise should also do to prevent early foreign exchange risk.

Global trade friction entering into a new round the rush hour, but will not affect export the overall situation. Textile garment industry international trade protection is always the worst-hit areas, related enterprise should be ready to cope with all sorts of situations.

Especially to actively adjust the industrial structure and industrial upgrading. Although this needs to be a long process, but it is more and more trade barriers to deal with the fundamental measures.

Cost ascension or into a double-edged sword, push exports unit price to ascend order loss. China's current economic the biggest uncertainty is inflation, and rising asset prices caused the cost to the enterprise rise. Overall, the downstream demand relatively lags behind, the cost of not smooth conduction firstly causes enterprise profitability fall, at the same time, costs than expected increases brings the marginal effects, is to let enterprise by single increasingly cautious don't even accept the order.

Export prospectie

Although the 2009 China textile and clothing export must be two digits negative growth, to the textile industry contribution will be negative, but, comply with the international economy picking up, will now further better off, export trend rose is inevitable. But the influence of the crisis is far from over. Although Chinese textiles in the international market share increased, but to restore to a high level of growth, really exist great difficulties. 2010 years of foreign trade export, is more a recovery, and not likely to appear before the financial crisis of the sustainable expanded significantly.

In China's huge foreign trade under the base, continue to expand existing market space is also facing "ceiling" problem. Although China labor advantage, complete industry chain, and export products in its structure advantage has not because the financial crisis and is much damage, but after The Times the international crisis structure is to adjust, trade protectionism looked up and the appreciation of the renminbi factors such as pressure increase stack, wholesale Cheap sunglasses were in China's textile industry formed export restriction.

In the world economic recovery is not stable and trade friction aggravation of the situation, expect 2010 textile clothing export year-on-year growth of 5%, its growth momentum mainly from two aspects, one is ever lower base effects; 2 it is the price of export products DaoBi cost under moderate rise. The next three to five years textile and clothing export should be able to maintain single-digit growth, basic level of $180 billion. Relevant article:Clothing business